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Archive for June, 2007

20 Great Resources on Entrepreneurship

This guide may have started out with 20 resources, but there are many more now.  If you are have your own business or are thinking about starting one - this appears to be a gold mine.

20 Great Resources on Entrepreneurship

One Income, Two Retirements

One Income, Two Retirements - seems to be a thing of the past.  Most families need both husband and wife working to make ends meet.  The concept, however, is still applicable as spouses move in and out of the workforce for numerous reasons.

Source: Business Week Online

IRAs for nonworking spouses let you build your own nest egg — and in many cases, the contribution will be tax-deductible

Spouses drop out of the workforce for all sorts of reasons — to rear children, write a novel, or just get away from it all. Such noble pursuits have one serious drawback, however: Often, they mean leaving behind company-provided retirement-saving plans. Also, individual retirement accounts, 401(k) plans, and Social Security benefits are generally geared toward providing retirement income to people who earn salaries. Couples that include one working and one nonworking spouse face funding two retirements out of one income. And that challenge is magnified if something happens to the employed partner — as was the case with many families affected by the September 11 terrorist attacks.

All of these are good reasons to plan ahead for every contingency. When it comes to retirement, that means creating and contributing to a spousal IRA — starting right now. The spousal IRA allows a married spouse who files jointly to contribute $2,000 a year to both his and her IRAs, as long as the working spouse earns at least $4,000 a year. This type of IRA can be either a traditional plan funded with pretax dollars if the contributor is eligible or a Roth IRA funded with aftertax dollars.

More….

Risks in Real Estate Investing to Fund College

Here is some solid advice from Jeff Brown of Philly . com on the pros and cons of saving for college by buying and renting a condo versus investing a decent mutual fund.

Before making the comparison, he offers some solid Real Estate investing advice:

  • I know people who have invested successfully in real estate. They tend to be folks who enjoy managing properties and are glad to put in many hours every week.
  • One of them recently told me the best piece of advice he’d ever received: In real estate, you make your profit when you buy.  In other words, picking the right property and getting it at a good price is the key. You need a solid rental income and good appreciation.
  • Much is made of the tax benefits that come with investment property. Mortgage interest payments, maintenance, and other expenses are generally deductible on federal income tax returns, for instance. Don’t get seduced. If you pay a plumber $200 and get $40 back from Uncle Sam, you’re still out $160.

The comparison:

  • Any profit you make when the property is sold, assuming you’ve had it more than 12 months, would be taxed as a long-term capital gain, at a rate no higher than 15 percent.  That sounds good. But it’s not as good as one easy alternative: investing in a state-sponsored Section 529 college-savings plan. With these, all investment gains are tax-free if used to pay for education.
  • With a 529 plan, you know the money will be available when you need it, while money tied up in a rental property might be hard to get at.
  • And with a 529 plan, there won’t be any late-night calls from unhappy tenants. You’ll be able to spend your Saturdays and Sundays at the soccer field or ballet studio - not with your face under a dripping drain.

From his perspective a 529 college savings plan is a hands-down winner.

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Main Stream Thinking Will Not Lead to Financial Freedom

If main stream thinking would lead to financial freedom - wouldn’t there be many more financially free people?  Most of us are taught to go to school - get a good job and climb up the corporate ladder.  How many that have followed that path are financially free?  It is hard to tell, because there are many different definitions of financial freedom.  If I were to make a guess - I would guess that fewer than 5% of the people in the U.S are financially free. I would also guess that very few of those became financially free by climbing the corporate ladder. 

I submit that your chance of becoming financially free employing mainstream thinking is fairly slim.  If we can agree on that fact, then the converse must be true.  In other words, your chances are greatly improved by going against the grain or thinking differently than the masses.  Now, that doesn’t mean that you will become financially free, but your probability of success is increased. 

Since I realize this fact and believe it I am constantly seeking words of wisdom from the contrarians.  A contrarian is someone who takes the opposite position or attitude.  An investor who buys stock when most others are selling is a contrarian.  How else can you buy low and sell high?    Stocks are only at their lowest point when no one wants to buy.  The real estate market was red-hot in 2004, because everyone wanted to buy or trade up.  Contrarians sold and are renting now.

Some of my favorite contrarians are:

I read these people often are regularly.

How I Would Have Blown a Housing Bubble? - If I Had Done It

Fortunately, the world was spared from O.J. Simpson’s book “If I had done it.”  Unfortunately Alan Greenspan’s book with the same title has already been published and is climbing up the best sellers’ lists.   Ron Peebles describes in a somewhat humorous manner Greenspan’s contributions to our biggest bubble to date - the housing bubble.

Source: Prudent Bear . com
by Ron Peebles

People are always asking me about bubbles. Like do I believe in bubbles? And how do you blow them?

Well, I’m not sure I have all the answers on bubbles. I’m just a former central banker who spending his twilight years playing bridge and looking at the correlation coefficients of economic variables. Typical retirement stuff. So when it comes to bubbles, I don’t know. A few years ago Beannie Babies got a little out of hand, but you know, the market is the market and who’s to say what’s a fair price?

Back in the day, some people thought I had the power to make things happen, you know, like I was Bono or something. If you want to know the truth, I spent a lot of time sitting around a big table shuffling boring academic papers and wondering why the hell we couldn’t get some decent coffee.

More …..

Dennis Gartman’s Not-So-Simple Rules of Trading

Last Monday shareholders of Phelps Dodge, a member of the Big-Build Out portfolio, received an early Christmas present.  Freeport McMoran placed a bid to buy the company at a 27% premium.  Instantly all shareholders were 27% richer, simultaneously all shorts were 27% poorer.  This was a big news story, so CNBC reporters went to work.  Later on that day, Dennis Gartman was interviewed on CNBC.  Gartman had been betting that cooper’s run was over extended.  Instead of shorting the commodity itself, he choose to short a major cooper producer (Phelps Dodge).  Ouch

Before that day, I had never heard of Dennis Gartman.  Turns out that he is a well respected and well known trader.  He publishes the Gartman Letter that is a must read among professional traders.  He should be commended for coming on CNBC on a day in which he had taken such a pounding.  So many come on that network- tout their stocks and are never heard from again. Needless to say, he lost mega-bucks on this trade.  He stated that this had turned a good year into a mediocre one.  I was most impressed when he said that he immediately closed his position.  He didn’t try to rationalize the situation.  He cut his losses and moved.

I discussed a similar situation in my article, “Navigating Thru a Trading Fiasco.”  I cut bait on Enerplus Resources, a Canadian Income Trust, after the Canadian Government announced a new tax on such entities.  The article generated a nice discussion - see comments to article. 

I just ran across Gartman’s Not-So-Simple Rules of Trading.  Each year he updates the list.  I believe this is his latest and greatest.  Here are my favorites: Continue reading ‘Dennis Gartman’s Not-So-Simple Rules of Trading’

Week in Review 11/24 - Wall Street Focused on Turkey

It was a slow holiday shortened week as the general market focused on Thursday’s turkey dinner. There was little activity as the S&P 500 closed up 0.1% for the week on light volume. On the other hand, commodities being world-wide resources paid little attention to Turkey day.  The week started off with a bang.  Freeport McMoran made a bid for Phelps Dodge.  This drove Phelps stock up 27% on Monday alone.  The week culminated with Gold rising sharply after taking its signal from a nose diving  US Dollar. One of my favorite proxies for the gold market, CEF, closed up 3.8% on Friday.

It was a much better week for the Fab Four from “The Commodities Bull Market is Back”. The Fab was up, as a group, 6% for the week with HudBay Minerals leading the charge up 16.3%. Continue reading ‘Week in Review 11/24 - Wall Street Focused on Turkey’

The U.S. Dollar is the Week’s Biggest Turkey

Unless you are an American that travels abroad frequently, the state of the dollar isn’t something you give much thought.  However, the dollar will start garnering more of your attention if there are more weeks like the past one.  Last week the dollar lost 3%, 2.2%, 2% and 1.8% versus the Swiss franc, euro, British pound and Japanese yen respectivelly.  These are large moves in the currency market. 

Wal-Mart was one of the worst performing retailers on “Black Friday.”  A weakening dollar means higher import prices.   That is the last thing Wal-mart can afford now. As commodity investors, just remember that the dollar and gold have an inverse relationship. So, a weakening dollar means a strengthening gold price.  Gold was true to the trend - returning 4.71% last week on the spot market. Continue reading ‘The U.S. Dollar is the Week’s Biggest Turkey’

Commodities: Bust or Boom?

If you are a regular reader of this site - you know where I stand on commodities.  As far as I am concerned, investing in commodities is the “low hanging fruit” on the pathway to Financial Freedom.  If there was one thing that I remember for Econ 101 - it is that supply deficits with increasing demand leads to higher prices. Low and behold that is what we find in the commodity patch.  Take a gander at a quote from Jim Puplava. 

“For example in the past decade Asia has accounted for 50% of the increase in global demand for oil and 80 % of the demand for copper. Are we to believe that if the U.S. economy slows down, a new car owner in China will leave his car in the garage and ride his bicycle?”

Jim drives home the point with the following:

The perception in the financial markets is that a slowdown in the U.S. economy and a global economic slowdown will reduce demand for basic commodities. However, decades of neglect and supply deficits will take time and money to correct. This is a structural bull market, which is going to last for a lot longer than most experts predict. If China sells 2,000,000 automobiles this year and next that means there are going to be a lot more Chinese consuming larger amounts of gasoline. China’s economy may slowdown from its breathtaking rate of 11%. However, an 8-10% growth rate means more copper, more iron ore, more cement, more steel, and more gasoline consumption. Let us also not forget India, whose economy is growing at 9% per annum.

Remember Wall Street’s priority is to put the most money in their pockets.  That happens by convincing Main Street to purchase stocks in which it is most heavily invested.  Commodity related Exchange Traded Funds (i.e. GLD, GDX, OIH) are still relatively new, so there is little money to be made there by Wall Street.  By the time Commodities truly become a bubble, Wall Street will be pumping it 24 hours per day - 7 days a week.

Take a read on Jim Puplava’s latest commentary - “Commodities: Bust or Boom?”  It is a great read.

 

China’s Insatiable Demand for Minerals and Oil

This article will give you a feel for why my dollars are invested in commodity stocks. China’s demand for Copper, Zinc, Nickel, Silver, Oil and don’t forget clean water will not subside in the foreseeable future.  Read the Week in Review to find out which stocks are benefiting from this trend.

by Joseph Kahama
President of Tanzanian American Development 2000 Inc.
11/22/2006
JS Mineset . com 

After traveling for more than 19 hours between Tanzania and The Peoples Republic of China, I have now arrived. It is a few minutes past midnight now here in the Capital of Beijing and yet the activities by way of trade, commerce and construction are continuing throughout the night as if it is daylight.

On my way to China I had ample time during my flight to read Ted C. Fishman’s book, “China Inc.” (The Relentless Rise of the Great Superpower). I can ascertain that what I read in Fishman’s book is true.

Thousands of construction projects are relentlessly and simultaneously being undertaken in China. From state-of-the art highways to airports, skyscrapers and sports stadiums. This has been the case in two cities that I visited, Beijing and Chang Chung. The story repeats itself in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, Shanghai, Tianjin and many other cities and towns. China has 160 cities with more than 1 million people. Beijing itself has more than 20 million inhabitants during daytime. I also had the opportunity to visit the Olympic Village 2008 and the mega construction projects being undertaken there, as well as the stadium for the Asian Winter Games 2006, both of which China will be hosting. With many billions of dollars being spent every year on construction, technology and electronics including aircraft fittings and manufacturing by China, it is no wonder there is a great demand for minerals and oil by China. Continue reading ‘China’s Insatiable Demand for Minerals and Oil’

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